Arrival Price AI Analytics

CQG AI Algos


The Arrival Price Algorithm is driven by short-term realized volatility and drift signals as well as market-implied cost of liquidity to execute within a risk-optimized time horizon using trader-defined slippage expectations. Arrival Price is benchmarked against mid-market and sweep to fill (market order) metrics.

"Liquidity Cost, Volatility, and Drift" are the quantities used by the algorithm to compute a theoretically optimal Equilibrium Trading Horizon (White Paper). "Seconds spent" reflects the practical application of this horizon over simulated dynamic market conditions. A "fill stream" is also included to demonstrate the effects of the Market By Order Impact Model, which helps size order slices in a manner consistent with price-level population.

The graphs below illuminate the effects of these indicators on optimal execution horizon and therefore, performance results of hypothetical Arrival Price orders.


Impact Model: MBO
Payup Model: PayupAI
Liquidity Cost:
Implicit cost of liquidity per lot
Volatility:
Normal volatility in dollar terms

 

Drift:
Short-term directional drift
Seconds Spent:
Seconds spent in simulated execution

 

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1050
Slippage Sweep
-0.3650
Arrival Price
5,670.1250
Average Total
5,670.2300
Destination Price
5,670.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,669.8650
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-03-18T15:28:28.243 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:28.956 SIM:ESM5 Sell 5 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:30.983 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:33.024 SIM:ESM5 Sell 12 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:33.024 SIM:ESM5 Sell 5 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:34.086 SIM:ESM5 Sell 9 5670.5 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:34.086 SIM:ESM5 Sell 14 5670.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.0900
Slippage Sweep
-0.2350
Arrival Price
5,669.8750
Average Total
5,669.7850
Destination Price
5,669.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,670.0200
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-03-18T15:28:21.195 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:21.679 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5670 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:23.545 SIM:ESM5 Buy 39 5669.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:28:23.545 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5669.75 Passive
2025-03-18T15:28:23.81 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5669.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.0150
Slippage Sweep
-0.2150
Arrival Price
5,675.8750
Average Total
5,675.8900
Destination Price
5,676.1250
Sweep to Fill
5,675.6750
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-03-18T15:10:29.397 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5675.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:30.335 SIM:ESM5 Sell 12 5675.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:31.218 SIM:ESM5 Sell 9 5675.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:33.62 SIM:ESM5 Sell 15 5676 Passive
2025-03-18T15:10:33.62 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5676 Passive
2025-03-18T15:10:33.62 SIM:ESM5 Sell 10 5676 Passive
2025-03-18T15:10:34.397 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5676 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.1150
Slippage Sweep
-0.0100
Arrival Price
5,676.1250
Average Total
5,676.2400
Destination Price
5,676.1250
Sweep to Fill
5,676.2500
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-03-18T15:10:17.909 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5676 Passive
2025-03-18T15:10:17.909 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5676 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:18.641 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:19.447 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:20.397 SIM:ESM5 Buy 5 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:21.483 SIM:ESM5 Buy 10 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:22.785 SIM:ESM5 Buy 11 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:22.785 SIM:ESM5 Buy 10 5676.25 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:10:23.501 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5676.25 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.3400
Slippage Sweep
0.1050
Arrival Price
5,673.8750
Average Total
5,673.5350
Destination Price
5,673.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,673.6400
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-03-18T15:07:03.197 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5673.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:07:04.197 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5673.75 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:07:05.197 SIM:ESM5 Sell 16 5673.5 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:07:05.198 SIM:ESM5 Sell 16 5673.5 Aggressive
2025-03-18T15:07:07.276 SIM:ESM5 Sell 11 5673.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1350
Slippage Sweep
-0.4250
Arrival Price
6,139.1250
Average Total
6,138.9900
Destination Price
6,138.6250
Sweep to Fill
6,139.4150
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T02:11:06.68 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:15.088 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:15.673 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6139 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:18.443 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:18.443 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:18.443 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:18.443 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:11:27.986 SIM:ESH5 Buy 4 6139 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:29.077 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6138.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:29.077 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6139 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:29.723 SIM:ESH5 Buy 19 6139 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:29.723 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6139 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:11:31.697 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6138.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1650
Slippage Sweep
-0.4100
Arrival Price
6,139.3750
Average Total
6,139.2100
Destination Price
6,139.0000
Sweep to Fill
6,139.6200
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T02:08:55.807 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:08:55.807 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:08:55.885 SIM:ESH5 Buy 20 6139.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:08:56.185 SIM:ESH5 Buy 3 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:08:56.185 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6139 Passive
2025-02-14T02:08:56.933 SIM:ESH5 Buy 22 6139.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:08:56.934 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6139 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.4650
Slippage Sweep
-0.0350
Arrival Price
6,141.0000
Average Total
6,140.5350
Destination Price
6,140.5000
Sweep to Fill
6,140.5000
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.118 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:10.78 SIM:ESH5 Sell 14 6140.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.181 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.181 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.75 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.223 SIM:ESH5 Sell 13 6140.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.83 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:11.831 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6140.5 Passive
2025-02-14T02:01:15.298 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6140.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:01:15.684 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6140.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1600
Slippage Sweep
-0.4750
Arrival Price
6,141.6250
Average Total
6,141.4650
Destination Price
6,141.1250
Sweep to Fill
6,141.9400
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T02:00:37.253 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:41.086 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:41.086 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:44.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:00:44.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:00:44.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:00:44.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:00:44.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Passive
2025-02-14T02:00:45.692 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6141.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:45.692 SIM:ESH5 Buy 18 6141.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:45.692 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6141.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:51.087 SIM:ESH5 Buy 8 6141.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:51.087 SIM:ESH5 Buy 6 6141.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T02:00:52.409 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6141.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.5350
Slippage Sweep
0.1700
Arrival Price
6,142.6250
Average Total
6,143.1600
Destination Price
6,143.1250
Sweep to Fill
6,142.9900
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:59:28.584 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6142.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:33.31 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6142.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:33.31 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6142.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:34.438 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:59:34.438 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6143.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:59:38.48 SIM:ESH5 Buy 14 6143.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:59:39.6 SIM:ESH5 Buy 13 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:40.182 SIM:ESH5 Buy 6 6143.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:59:45.58 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive
2025-02-14T01:59:45.58 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.5800
Slippage Sweep
0.2550
Arrival Price
6,145.8750
Average Total
6,146.4550
Destination Price
6,146.3750
Sweep to Fill
6,146.2000
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:15:21.606 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:15:36.616 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6145.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:15:37.515 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:15:50.782 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:15:53.695 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Passive
2025-02-14T01:15:53.695 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Passive
2025-02-14T01:15:53.695 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Passive
2025-02-14T01:15:53.695 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146 Passive
2025-02-14T01:16:01.396 SIM:ESH5 Buy 3 6146.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:01.396 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:01.396 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6146.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:03.002 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6146.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:03.002 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6146.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:05.011 SIM:ESH5 Buy 6 6146.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:05.294 SIM:ESH5 Buy 8 6146.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:05.294 SIM:ESH5 Buy 6 6146.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:16:05.294 SIM:ESH5 Buy 3 6146.5 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.5650
Slippage Sweep
0.2150
Arrival Price
6,145.3750
Average Total
6,144.8100
Destination Price
6,144.8750
Sweep to Fill
6,145.0250
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:10:01.883 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6145.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:16.818 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6145 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:10:16.818 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6144.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:10:16.818 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6145 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:34.68 SIM:ESH5 Sell 5 6144.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:10:37.28 SIM:ESH5 Sell 5 6145 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:10:37.28 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6144.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.584 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.584 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.584 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.584 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.584 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 2 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:10:45.585 SIM:ESH5 Sell 3 6144.75 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.3050
Slippage Sweep
-0.5900
Arrival Price
6,144.1250
Average Total
6,143.8200
Destination Price
6,143.6250
Sweep to Fill
6,144.4100
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:06:15.384 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6144 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:23.88 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6144 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:31.681 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:06:31.8 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:35.008 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:35.008 SIM:ESH5 Buy 9 6144 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:36.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 11 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:36.18 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:06:37.101 SIM:ESH5 Buy 10 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:37.101 SIM:ESH5 Buy 3 6144 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:06:38.481 SIM:ESH5 Buy 5 6143.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1850
Slippage Sweep
-0.4950
Arrival Price
6,143.8750
Average Total
6,143.6900
Destination Price
6,143.5000
Sweep to Fill
6,144.1850
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:05:12.68 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Passive
2025-02-14T01:05:16.654 SIM:ESH5 Buy 2 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:19.539 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:23.388 SIM:ESH5 Buy 1 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:25.519 SIM:ESH5 Buy 5 6143.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:25.52 SIM:ESH5 Buy 15 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:26.498 SIM:ESH5 Buy 7 6143.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:26.498 SIM:ESH5 Buy 10 6143.75 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:05:26.498 SIM:ESH5 Buy 8 6143.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESH5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.1050
Slippage Sweep
-0.0600
Arrival Price
6,142.8750
Average Total
6,142.7700
Destination Price
6,143.3750
Sweep to Fill
6,142.7100
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-02-14T01:01:55.38 SIM:ESH5 Sell 4 6142.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:02:03.983 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6142.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:02:03.983 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6142.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:02:05.48 SIM:ESH5 Sell 17 6142.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:02:06.28 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6142.5 Passive
2025-02-14T01:02:06.28 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6142.5 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:03:21.416 SIM:ESH5 Sell 4 6143 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:03:22.933 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:03:22.934 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:03:22.934 SIM:ESH5 Sell 4 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:03:22.934 SIM:ESH5 Sell 4 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:03:22.934 SIM:ESH5 Sell 1 6143.25 Passive
2025-02-14T01:03:23.58 SIM:ESH5 Sell 5 6143.25 Aggressive
2025-02-14T01:03:23.58 SIM:ESH5 Sell 5 6143.25 Aggressive