Arrival Price AI Analytics

CQG AI Algos


The Arrival Price Algorithm is driven by short-term realized volatility and drift signals as well as market-implied cost of liquidity to execute within a risk-optimized time horizon using trader-defined slippage expectations. Arrival Price is benchmarked against mid-market and sweep to fill (market order) metrics.

"Liquidity Cost, Volatility, and Drift" are the quantities used by the algorithm to compute a theoretically optimal Equilibrium Trading Horizon (White Paper). "Seconds spent" reflects the practical application of this horizon over simulated dynamic market conditions. A "fill stream" is also included to demonstrate the effects of the Market By Order Impact Model, which helps size order slices in a manner consistent with price-level population.

The graphs below illuminate the effects of these indicators on optimal execution horizon and therefore, performance results of hypothetical Arrival Price orders.


Impact Model: MBO
Payup Model: PayupAI
Liquidity Cost:
Implicit cost of liquidity per lot
Volatility:
Normal volatility in dollar terms

 

Drift:
Short-term directional drift
Seconds Spent:
Seconds spent in simulated execution

 

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.5200
Slippage Sweep
0.2950
Arrival Price
5,917.3750
Average Total
5,916.8550
Destination Price
5,916.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,917.1500
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:24:01.952 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:59.968 SIM:ESM5 Sell 12 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:56.345 SIM:ESM5 Sell 9 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:56.345 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:56.345 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5917 Passive
2025-06-02T11:23:47.985 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:44.944 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:44.944 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:50.916 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:49.103 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:45.946 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:23:45.946 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:23:45.945 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:23:43.763 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.25 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.0650
Slippage Sweep
-0.1550
Arrival Price
5,917.6250
Average Total
5,917.6900
Destination Price
5,917.3750
Sweep to Fill
5,917.8450
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:23:41.343 SIM:ESM5 Buy 5 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:41.343 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:40.37 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:40.37 SIM:ESM5 Buy 14 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:43.412 SIM:ESM5 Buy 12 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:35.821 SIM:ESM5 Buy 12 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:34.302 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:33.267 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1000
Slippage Sweep
-0.2600
Arrival Price
5,915.8750
Average Total
5,915.9750
Destination Price
5,916.1250
Sweep to Fill
5,915.7150
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:23:02.75 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:02.75 SIM:ESM5 Sell 11 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:02.75 SIM:ESM5 Sell 27 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:01.753 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:23:00.755 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:59.912 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:59.101 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.0700
Slippage Sweep
-0.0700
Arrival Price
5,916.1250
Average Total
5,916.1950
Destination Price
5,915.8750
Sweep to Fill
5,916.2650
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:22:56.997 SIM:ESM5 Buy 8 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:55.312 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:55.313 SIM:ESM5 Buy 5 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:54.312 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:53.465 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:52.26 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:58.444 SIM:ESM5 Buy 10 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:57.748 SIM:ESM5 Buy 9 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:57.748 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:57.748 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916 Passive
2025-06-02T11:22:51.256 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:50.771 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.25 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.0250
Slippage Sweep
-0.3200
Arrival Price
5,916.3750
Average Total
5,916.4000
Destination Price
5,916.8750
Sweep to Fill
5,916.0800
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:22:19.212 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:19.212 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:14.184 SIM:ESM5 Sell 8 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:14.184 SIM:ESM5 Sell 14 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:11.725 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:11.725 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:13.164 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:12.279 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:08.112 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916.25 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.2700
Slippage Sweep
0.0450
Arrival Price
5,916.3750
Average Total
5,916.6450
Destination Price
5,916.3750
Sweep to Fill
5,916.6000
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:22:07.119 SIM:ESM5 Buy 15 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:06.748 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:22:04.052 SIM:ESM5 Buy 12 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:00.038 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:00.038 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:57.082 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:52.989 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:02.143 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:22:02.143 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:56.001 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:54.115 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:54.115 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:54.114 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Passive
2025-06-02T11:21:52.541 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.0800
Slippage Sweep
-0.2000
Arrival Price
5,917.1250
Average Total
5,917.0450
Destination Price
5,917.3750
Sweep to Fill
5,916.8450
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:21:16.493 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:21.601 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917.5 Passive
2025-06-02T11:21:20.437 SIM:ESM5 Sell 16 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:20.437 SIM:ESM5 Sell 15 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:19.638 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:17.444 SIM:ESM5 Sell 5 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:13.412 SIM:ESM5 Sell 5 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:12.571 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5917 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.1300
Slippage Sweep
-0.1100
Arrival Price
5,917.3750
Average Total
5,917.5050
Destination Price
5,917.1250
Sweep to Fill
5,917.6150
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:21:08.653 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:05.623 SIM:ESM5 Buy 7 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:03.629 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:01.613 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:11.712 SIM:ESM5 Buy 11 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:10.758 SIM:ESM5 Buy 8 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:59.882 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:09.725 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:21:06.636 SIM:ESM5 Buy 5 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:58.588 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.5950
Slippage Sweep
0.4100
Arrival Price
5,916.6250
Average Total
5,916.0300
Destination Price
5,915.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,916.4400
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:20:27.958 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5915.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:27.958 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:27.958 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5915.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:20:15.714 SIM:ESM5 Sell 14 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:13.684 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:09.807 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916 Passive
2025-06-02T11:20:09.807 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916 Passive
2025-06-02T11:20:04.605 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:11.649 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:11.649 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:11.649 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5916 Passive
2025-06-02T11:20:08.645 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:07.642 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:07.642 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:03.752 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:16.756 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:03.646 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5916.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.6050
Slippage Sweep
0.4050
Arrival Price
5,916.3750
Average Total
5,916.9800
Destination Price
5,916.8750
Sweep to Fill
5,916.5750
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:19:50.113 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:50.113 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:50.113 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:50.113 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:50.112 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:50.112 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:20:02.205 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:02.205 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:48.01 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:40.981 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:40.112 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:39.032 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:20:02.205 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:58.236 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:55.223 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:46.205 SIM:ESM5 Buy 8 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:42.943 SIM:ESM5 Buy 8 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:41.975 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:37.938 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1850
Slippage Sweep
-0.4000
Arrival Price
5,916.1250
Average Total
5,916.3100
Destination Price
5,916.6250
Sweep to Fill
5,915.9100
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:19:06.458 SIM:ESM5 Sell 10 5916.25 Passive
2025-06-02T11:19:07.542 SIM:ESM5 Sell 12 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:06.458 SIM:ESM5 Sell 27 5916.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:05.523 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5916.25 Passive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1100
Slippage Sweep
-0.3200
Arrival Price
5,916.8750
Average Total
5,916.7650
Destination Price
5,916.3750
Sweep to Fill
5,917.0850
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:19:02.475 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5917 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:02.475 SIM:ESM5 Buy 12 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:00.427 SIM:ESM5 Buy 3 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:04.557 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5916.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:03.513 SIM:ESM5 Buy 15 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:19:03.512 SIM:ESM5 Buy 15 5916.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:59.902 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5917 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.1700
Slippage Sweep
-0.4150
Arrival Price
5,914.8750
Average Total
5,915.0450
Destination Price
5,915.1250
Sweep to Fill
5,914.6300
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:18:29.015 SIM:ESM5 Sell 18 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:29.015 SIM:ESM5 Sell 6 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:25.977 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5915.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:25.977 SIM:ESM5 Sell 11 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:25.977 SIM:ESM5 Sell 8 5915.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:24.998 SIM:ESM5 Sell 2 5914.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:24.062 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5914.75 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Buy
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
0.7450
Slippage Sweep
0.4050
Arrival Price
5,914.1250
Average Total
5,914.8700
Destination Price
5,914.8750
Sweep to Fill
5,914.4650
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:18:10.812 SIM:ESM5 Buy 5 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:03.712 SIM:ESM5 Buy 7 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:58.644 SIM:ESM5 Buy 10 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:14.798 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5915.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:54.603 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5914.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:23.372 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:18:23.372 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:18:23.372 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:18:23.372 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:18:11.871 SIM:ESM5 Buy 6 5915 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:04.863 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5914.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:18:04.863 SIM:ESM5 Buy 2 5914.75 Passive
2025-06-02T11:17:56.664 SIM:ESM5 Buy 4 5914.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:55.614 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.25 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:53.733 SIM:ESM5 Buy 1 5914.25 Aggressive

Date - Time
CQG Symbol
EP
Exchange Symbol
SIM:ESM5
Buy / Sell
Sell
Quantity
50
Total Filled
50
Slippage
-0.2550
Slippage Sweep
-0.4950
Arrival Price
5,915.6250
Average Total
5,915.8800
Destination Price
5,915.8750
Sweep to Fill
5,915.3850
Diagnostics
TimestampSecuritySideLastSharesLastPriceAggressor
2025-06-02T11:17:23.08 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:22.152 SIM:ESM5 Sell 5 5915.75 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:22.152 SIM:ESM5 Sell 34 5916 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:21.122 SIM:ESM5 Sell 3 5915.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:20.128 SIM:ESM5 Sell 4 5915.5 Aggressive
2025-06-02T11:17:18.024 SIM:ESM5 Sell 1 5915.5 Aggressive